• Expected market developments: demand and supply forecasts and future market prospects

    Chapter 6 - Market profiles - Turkey 


    Figure 6.28 indicates that there has been an accelerated increase in cotton demand between the 1991/92 and 2005/06 seasons, and that this demand has been satisfied by domestic cotton production and by increasing quantities of cotton imports.




    The elimination of quotas has not yet had a serious negative impact on Turkey’s textile and clothing industry, when judged by export figures of recent years. This is due to the strengths of this sector, such as proximity to main markets (especially to the EU), ability to produce higher-value-added quality products and quick response time. It is widely believed that Turkey can maintain and even further improve its present position, provided a reasonable cost base can be sustained.

    Two alternative cotton demand and supply projections have been developed for the next 10-year period. Projections in table 6.12 (scenario 1) assume that annual cotton demand will remain steady at 1.6 million tons while domestic cotton production will be raised incrementally, as a result of which cotton imports will decrease proportionately. Table 6.12 (scenario 2), however, reflects a more optimistic scenario in which an increase in demand is satisfied by incremental domestic production growth in addition to imports at a constant amount.

    It is evident from both scenarios that the need for cotton imports is inevitable and that imported quantities will largely depend on the gap between demand and supply.

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    Cotton Exporter's Guide

    Brochure - African cotton promotion
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